*Special Weather Forecast for Luzon

As JUANING moves out of PAR; KABAYAN enters PAR

SWMS is Moderate for Central Luzon, Southern Luzon, Bicol Region, Northern Eastern Visayas.

Weather Map for Philippines, (CLICK for Larger Version)

Typhoon JUANING made landfall over Auroa

Typhoon JUANING (Nock-Ten/10W)

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as of 11PM PST July 27,2011
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• 16.0N 122.0E
• 40km SE of Casiguran, Aurora
• 205km NNE of Manila City
• NW@15kph
• heading towards Quirino-Nuva Vizcaya
• 120kph sustained winds
• 150kph Gustiness winds
• minimum sea level pressure: 985hPa
• Size: 590km in diameter

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Tyhpnoo JUANING Track Map and PSWS Map

Tyhpoon JUANING Satellite Animation (Wunderground Tropical)

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Signal No.2 

Aurora
Quirino
Nueva Vizcaya
Abra
Kalinga
Ilocos Sur
Mt Province
Isabela
La Union
Benguet
Ifugao
Pangasinan
Zambales
Tarlac
Nueva Ecija
Pampanga
Bataan
Bulacan
Rizal
Quezon
Polillo Island

Metro Manila

Signal No.1

Ilocos Norte
Apayao
Cagayan
Cavite
Batangas
Laguna
Mindoro Provinces
Lubang Island
Marinduque
Camarines Norte
Camarines Sur
Albay
Burias Island

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Tropical Storm Strength Probability for

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RAINFALL FOR THE PAST 24HRS.

Tropical Storm "JUANING" continues to threaten Central Luzon including Metro Manila.

Tropical Storm JUANING (Nock-Ten/10W)

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as of 6AM PST July 27,2011
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• 15.4N 122.2E
• 90km East of Infanta, Quezon
• 190km NE of Manila City
• WNW@13kph
• heading towards Aurora-Central Luzon
• 100kph sustained winds
• 130kph Gustiness winds
• minimum sea level pressure: 990hPa
• Size: 555km

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Tropical Storm JUANING Track Map and PSWS Map

Tropical Storm Juaning (Click for Satellite Animation from Wunderground Tropical)

Subic Radar from PAGASA

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Signal No.2

• Camarines Norte
  Quezon
  Polillo Island
  Batangas
  Laguna
  Cavite
  Rizal
  Bulacan
  Pampanga
  Bataan
  Zambales
  Tarlac
  Pangasinan
  Nueva Ecija
  Aurora
  Quirino
  Nueva Vizcaya
  Benguet
  La Union
  Metro Manila

Signal No.1

• Catanduanes
  Camarines Sur
  Albay
  Burias Is
  Romblon
  Mindoro Provinces
  Lubang Is.
  Isabela
  Ifugao
  Mt. Province
  Kalinga
  Ilocos Norte
  Ilocos Sur
  Abra
  Apayao
  Cagayan

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ALTERNATE FORECAST SCENARIO:

There is a possibility to continue its west movement if the HPA above the storm will not weaken taht much.

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Tropical Storm Strength Probability for:

Tropical Storm Juaning instefies and threatening Southern and Central Luzon.

Tropical Storm JUANING (Nock-Ten/10W)

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as of 5PM PST July 26,2011
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• 14.4°N, 123.4°E
• 50 km Northeast of Daet, Camarines Norte
• WNW @15kph
• heading towards Quezon Province
• 75kph sustained winds 
• 90kph gustiness winds
• Pressure: 996 hPa

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TS JUANING Track Map and PSWS Map

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Signal No. 2

Camarines Provinces
Albay
Catanduanes
Pangasinan
Nueva Ecija
Zambales
Pampanga
Tarlac
Bulacan
Bataan
Rizal
Cavite
Laguna
Batangas
Quezon
Polillo Island
Metro Manila

Signal No.1

Ilocos Norte
Ilocos Sur
Apayao
Cagayan
Abra
Kalinga
Isabela
Mt. Province
Ifugao
La Union
Benguet
Nueva Vizcaya
Quirino
Aurora
Mindoro Provinces
Lubang Is.
Marinduque
Romblon
Burias Is.
Masbate
Ticao Is.
Sorsogon

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Alternate Forecast Scenario : It will continue to move westward towards southern luzon if the HPA over taiawan will not weaken.

Tropical Storm Juaning on Bicol Coast.

Tropical Storm JUANING (Nock-Ten/10W)

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as of 11 AM PST July 26,2011
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• 14.2 N , 123.6 E
• 100 km Northeast of Daet, Camarines Norte
• W @ 11 kph
• heading towards the Northern Quezon and Aurora
• 65 kph sustained winds 
• 80 kph gustiness winds 
• minimum sea level pressure: 1000mb

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Tropical Storm "JUANING" Track Map and PSWS Map

TS JUANING Satellite Image. ( Click For Animation) 

{From Wunderground Tropical}

Signal No.2

• Catanduanes
  Albay
  Camarines Norte
  Camarines Sur
  Quezon
  Polillo Island
  Aurora 

Signal No.1

• Apayao
  Cagayan
  Abra
  Kalinga
  Ilocos Norte
  Ilocos Sur
  Mt. Province
  Isabela
  Ifugao
  La union
  Benguet
  Nueva Vizcaya
  Quirino
  Pangasinan
  Nueva Ecija
  Tarlac
  Zambales
  Pampanga
  Bulacan
  Bataan
  Rizal
  Cavite
  Laguna
  Batangas
  Marinduque
  Burias Island
  Sorsogon
  Metro Manila

Alternate Forecast Scenario : TS Juaning could jolt to the West if the HPA in Taiwan would not weaken. Same Scenario with Typhoon Basyang (JULY2010)

LPA 93W is expected to become a Tropical Depression within the next 6 hours.

It was raised on High alert that LPA 93W can become a Tropical Depression next 6 hours. Next name to be used is Juaning for Pagasa and Nock-Ten for international. It is moving onw WNW, it can affect the Metropolis by tuesday so we are alerting everyone.

Fujiwhara Effect Between Hanna (Tokage) and (Ma-on)

Hanna had formed this morning inside PAR but being pulled Eastward by TY Ma-on. We will issue bulletins here once PAGASA will issue Signal Bulletins within the provinces of the philippines.